The Independent Market Observer

The Third Wave of COVID-19: Have the Facts Changed?

Knowing When to Worry About the Deficit and the Debt

Monday Update: September Retail Sales Beat Expectations

Coronavirus Update: October 16, 2020 [Video]

How Durable Is the Economic Recovery?

What If the Deficit and Debt Don’t Matter?

Is a Hopeful Market a Vulnerable One?

Monday Update: Service Sector Confidence Rises in September

Monthly Market Risk Update: October 2020

Will Rising Medical Risks Affect the Health of the Economy?

Looking Back at the Markets in Q3 and Ahead to Q4 2020

Economic Risk Factor Update: October 2020

Monday Update: September Employment Report Disappoints

More Uncertainty to Rattle Markets

Coronavirus Update: October 2, 2020 [Video]

Market Thoughts for October 2020 [Video]

Positive Signs in the Economic Recovery

Does Politics Affect the Economy?

Monday Update: Housing Sales Keep Improving

How to Remain Calm (and Carry On)

Financial Markets Bounce Around on Rising Medical Risks

Will the Election Sink the Markets?

More Market Volatility in the Forecast?

Monday Update: Retail Sales Slow in August

Coronavirus Update: September 18, 2020 [Video]

Economic Recovery on Track, But Some Signs of Weakness

Is the Market Too Complacent?

What About the Federal Deficit?

Monday Update: Unemployment Claims Remain Stubbornly High

Monthly Market Risk Update: September 2020

Signs of a Slowdown in the Economic Recovery?

Economic Risk Factor Update: September 2020

Monday Update: August Employment Report Beats Expectations

More Market Turbulence: What's Going On?

Coronavirus Update: September 4, 2020 [Video]

Pandemic News Continues to Improve Along with the Economy

Looking Back at the Markets in August and Ahead to September 2020

Market Thoughts for September 2020 [Video]

Monday Update: Consumer Confidence Mixed in August

Don’t Worry About Interest Rates

Coronavirus Update: August 28, 2020 [Video]

Are the Economic Risks on the Rise?

Are the Markets Moving Past the Pandemic?

What’s Driving the Market’s All-Time Highs?

Monday Update: Housing Sector Recovery Accelerates

Municipal Bond Market Update

How Do You Position a Portfolio for Uncertainty?

The Growth Vs. Value Disparity

Dethroning of King Dollar?

Monday Update: Retail Sales Growth Slows in July

Coronavirus Update: August 14, 2020 [Video]

Monthly Market Risk Update: August 2020

Medical Risks Contained, But Economic Risks Have Risen

Appearance on CNBC’s The Exchange, August 12, 2020 [Video]

Economic Risk Factor Update: August 2020

How Will the Presidential Election Affect the Stock Market?

Monday Update: Jobs Report for July Beats Expectations

Has Sustainable Investing Reached a Tipping Point?

Finding Income in a Low-Rate Environment

Does the Stable Value Fund Make Sense for 401(k) Investors?

A Look Under the S&P 500 Hood

Market Thoughts for August 2020 [Video]

Monday Update: Economy Contracts at Record Rate in Q2

Coronavirus Update: July 31, 2020 [Video]

Has the Second Wave Peaked?

Another Look at the Dollar: The Fed and Interest Rates

The Dollar Is Not Collapsing

Monday Update: Initial Jobless Claims Increase

Coronavirus Update: July 24, 2020 [Video]

Signs of Stabilization on the Pandemic Front

Q2 2020 Earnings: Terrible, But Still Positive

Where Is Value Now?

Monday Update: Retail Sales Jump for Second Month in a Row

Coronavirus Update: July 17, 2020 [Video]

So Far, Medical Risks Not Derailing Economic Recovery

Monthly Market Risk Update: July 2020

Economic Risk Factor Update: July 2020

Monday Update: Service Sector Sentiment Skyrockets

Coronavirus Update: July 10, 2020 [Video]

Are Localized Viral Outbreaks Turning into a National Threat?

2020 Midyear Outlook [Video]

Appearance on Yahoo Finance’s On the Move, July 8, 2020 [Video]

Is the Value Premium Dead?

Appearance on Nasdaq’s Trade Talks, July 7, 2020 [Video]

Looking Back at the Markets in June and Ahead to July 2020

Monday Update: June Jobs Report Hints at Faster Recovery

Economic Recovery Persists Despite Rising Risks

Coronavirus Update: July 2, 2020 [Video]

Market Thoughts for July 2020 [Video]

Why Has the Market Disconnected from the Pandemic?

Monday Update: Personal Spending Rebounds in May

Coronavirus Update: June 26, 2020 [Video]

Pandemic Growth Picks Up, But Economic Reopening Continues

Green Shoots for International Equities?

Is This the Second Wave?

Monday Update: Retail Sales Beat Expectations

Coronavirus Update: June 19, 2020 [Video]

Despite Localized Outbreaks, Recovery Remains On Track

Is the Market Melt-Up Cause for Concern?

In Response to “The Looming Bank Collapse”

Monday Update: Reopening Takes Hold, Consumer Confidence Jumps

Coronavirus Update: June 12, 2020 [Video]

No Sign of Second Wave of Infections at National Level

Monthly Market Risk Update: June 2020

Economic Risk Factor Update: June 2020

Monday Update: May Jobs Report Blows Away Expectations

Appearance on Yahoo Finance’s The Final Round, June 5, 2020 [Video]

Coronavirus Update: June 5, 2020 [Video]

Reopening on Track, But Protests Introduce New Risks

Looking Back at the Markets in May and Ahead to June 2020

Market Thoughts for June 2020 [Video]

Monday Update: Consumer Confidence Stabilizes in May

Coronavirus Update: May 29, 2020 [Video]

What’s (Not) Happening in the Coronavirus Crisis?

Appearance on Yahoo Finance’s On the Move, May 28, 2020 [Video]

COVID-19: What We Know and How We Know It

Monday Update (on Tuesday): Housing Hit Hard by Pandemic in April

Appearance on CNBC's The Exchange, May 22, 2020 [Video]

Coronavirus Update: May 22, 2020 [Video]

Is the Latest Coronavirus News Better Than It Looks?

Confessions of an ESG Investing Skeptic

Value Vs. Valuation: A Dilemma for Emerging Market Investors

Monday Update: Retail Sales and Industrial Production Plunge

Coronavirus Update: May 15, 2020 [Video]

Progress on Several Fronts in Coronavirus Pandemic

Monthly Market Risk Update: May 2020

Economic Risk Factor Update: May 2020

Monday Update: Unemployment Rate Soars to 14.7 Percent

Coronavirus Update: May 8, 2020 [Video]

Pandemic Slowing—Are the Biggest Risks Behind Us?

Looking Back at the Markets in April and Ahead to May 2020

Monday Update (on Tuesday): Longest Economic Expansion in U.S. History Ends

Market Thoughts for May 2020 [Video]

Coronavirus Update: May 1, 2020 [Video]

Markets Are Confident—But Are They Right?

Is Runaway Inflation an Inevitability?

Bonds Broke—Now What?

Appearance on Yahoo Finance's The Final Round, April 28, 2020 [Video]

Monday Update: Lowered Expectations Lead to Better-Than-Expected Results

Coronavirus Update: April 24, 2020 [Video]

Appearance on CNBC's The Exchange, April 23, 2020 [Video]

A Historic Collapse in Crude Oil Prices

Real Progress in Coronavirus Crisis, But Concerns Remain

Where Do the Markets Go from Here?

Monday Update: Historically Bad Week for Economic Data

Coronavirus Update: April 17, 2020 [Video]

Is There a Silver Lining to the Jobless Claims Numbers?

Monthly Market Risk Update: April 2020

Has the Coronavirus Curve Been Flattened?

Monday Update: Consumer Confidence Crashes

Economic Risk Factor Update: April 2020

Coronavirus Update: April 9, 2020 [Video]

Is There an End in Sight for the Coronavirus Crisis?

Should Investors Consider Gold?

Monday Update: Initial Jobless Claims Spike Again

Coronavirus Update: April 3, 2020 [Video]

Looking Back at the Markets in March and Ahead to April 2020

Market Thoughts for April 2020 [Video]

Are We Seeing Signs of Improvement in the Coronavirus Crisis?

Monday Update: New Jobless Claims Hit All-Time High, Consumer Confidence Crashes

Coronavirus Update: March 27, 2020 [Video]

First Wave of Economic Damage: 3 Million New Unemployment Claims

Congress Steps Up for the Economy

Coronavirus Update: U.S. Infection Growth Rate Holding Steady

Monday Update: Retail Sales Fall Sharply in February

The Coronavirus Pandemic and the Financial Markets

Coronavirus Update: March 19, 2020 [Video]

Assessing the Economic Damage from the Coronavirus Pandemic

Appearance on Fox Business Network’s The Claman Countdown, March 18, 2020 [Video]

The Coronavirus Pandemic: A Solvable Problem?

How to Think About the Coronavirus Pandemic: The Big Picture

Appearance on Yahoo Finance's On the Move, March 16, 2020 [Video]

Monday Update: Consumer Confidence Drop Smaller Than Expected

Appearance on CNBC’s Power Lunch, March 13, 2020 [Video]

Monthly Market Risk Update: March 2020

Appearance on Yahoo Finance's The Final Round, March 12, 2020 [Video]

Where Bear? There Bear!

Economic Risk Factor Update: March 2020

The 2020 Stock Market Crash

Monday Update: Signs of Economic Improvement in February

View from the Aisle: Takeaways from the Inside ETFs Conference

Is the End of the Bull Market Nigh?

The Rate Cut and the Market

Monday Update (on Tuesday): Consumer Confidence Remains Resilient

Market Thoughts for March 2020 [Video]

The Coronavirus and Your Investments

Reassessing the Coronavirus Risk

Coronavirus Concerns Keep Markets on Edge

How Should Investors React to the Coronavirus?

Monday Update: Housing Market Remains Healthy

Young People in Fancy Cars

Space Economics: The Final Frontier

Looking Too Far Ahead Can Leave Investors Far Behind

Monday Update (on Tuesday): Consumer Confidence Continues to Rise

No Love for Retail Spending This Valentine’s Day

Monthly Market Risk Update: February 2020

Economic Risk Factor Update: February 2020

Looking Back at the Markets in January and Ahead to February 2020

Monday Update: Business Confidence and Employment Beat Expectations

Searching for a Leading Economic Indicator

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The information on this website is intended for informational/educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy or sell any security or investment product. Please contact your financial professional for more information specific to your situation.

Certain sections of this commentary contain forward-looking statements that are based on our reasonable expectations, estimates, projections, and assumptions. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve certain risks and uncertainties, which are difficult to predict. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Diversification does not assure a profit or protect against loss in declining markets.

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