The Independent Market Observer

Mixed Signals on the Path Ahead for U.S. Economy

Market Thoughts for May 2025 [Video]

The Market Observatory: Tariffs and Trade Policy [Audio]

Is It Time for Investors to Play the Long Game?

Looking at the Economic Data and Volatility in the Bond Market

Tariffs Shock Economy and Markets

Putting the Market Sell-Off into Perspective

Market Thoughts for April 2025 [Video]

Q1 2025 in Review: Investors Take a Wild Ride

Unpacking My Suitcase: The Fed, Policy, and International Markets

The Market Has Corrected: What’s Ahead?

The Market Observatory: What Will the Fed Do Next? [Audio]

All Eyes on the Consumer: Is the Economic Engine Sputtering?

Market Thoughts for March 2025 [Video]

Policy Uncertainty Begins to Weigh on Investors

Market Thoughts for February 2025 [Video]

Market Thoughts for January 2025 [Video]

Q3 2024 Earnings: Santa Delivered, but Markets Expect More in 2025

Market Thoughts for December 2024 [Video]

Early Election Thoughts

Market Thoughts for November 2024 [Video]

Geopolitical Risks: Tricks or Treats?

What Will the Election Mean for Markets?

Monthly Market Risk Update: October 2024 [SlideShare]

Economic Release Snapshot: Consumer Sentiment Slides in October

Q3 2024 Earnings Season Preview: Magnificent 7 Feeling the Pressure?

Economic Risk Factor Update: October 2024 [SlideShare]

Economic Release Snapshot: September Hiring Surge

Looking Back at the Markets in September and Ahead to October 2024

Market Thoughts for October 2024 [Video]

Economic Release Snapshot: Consumer Confidence Slides in September

The Fed Goes Big: What’s Next for Asset Allocation?

Economic Release Snapshot: Signs of Continued Economic Growth

Digesting the Fed: Rates Start to Fall Before the Leaves

Monthly Market Risk Update: September 2024 [SlideShare]

Economic Release Snapshot: Inflation Cools in August

Economic Risk Factor Update: September 2024 [SlideShare]

Q2 2024 Earnings Season Review: Beating Expectations Isn’t Enough

Economic Release Snapshot: Hiring Picks Up in August

Looking Back at the Markets in August and Ahead to September 2024

Market Thoughts for September 2024 [Video]

Economic Release Snapshot: Consumer Confidence Improves in August

Economic Release Snapshot: Existing Home Sales Increase in July

Monthly Market Risk Update: August 2024 [SlideShare]

Economic Release Snapshot: Inflation Cools in July

Market Volatility: Is the Dust Settling or Blowing in the Wind?

Economic Risk Factor Update: August 2024 [SlideShare]

Economic Release Snapshot: Service Sector Confidence Improves in July

Looking Back at the Markets in July and Ahead to August 2024

Stock Market Sell-Off: What to Expect Next

Economic Release Snapshot: Job Growth Slows as Unemployment Rises

Market Thoughts for August 2024 [Video]

Digesting the Fed: Will Rates Fall This Fall?

Economic Release Snapshot: GDP Growth Accelerates in Second Quarter

Economic Release Snapshot: Industrial Production Rises in June

Surveying the Economic and Market Landscape

Monthly Market Risk Update: July 2024 [SlideShare]

2024 Midyear Outlook: Can Investors Find Solid Ground in Fixed Income?

Economic Release Snapshot: Consumer Inflation Slows in June

Economic Risk Factor Update: July 2024 [SlideShare]

Q2 2024 Earnings Season Preview: Time to Show Me the Money!

2024 Midyear Outlook: The Tug-of-War Between Earnings Growth and Valuations

What Will the Second Half Hold for the S&P 500?

Looking Back at the Markets in June and Ahead to July 2024

Economic Release Snapshot: Hiring Slows in June

2024 Midyear Outlook: Navigating the Geopolitical Waters

Market Thoughts for July 2024 [Video]

Economic Release Snapshot: Spending Growth Accelerates in May

What the 2024 Elections Could Mean for Portfolios

2024 Midyear Outlook: Slower Growth Ahead for U.S. Economy?

Economic Release Snapshot: Housing Sector Cools in May

Is There a Case for International Equities?

Monthly Market Risk Update: June 2024 [SlideShare]

Economic Release Snapshot: Inflation Cools in May

Digesting the Fed: Progress Made, But More Work Ahead

Economic Risk Factor Update: June 2024 [SlideShare]

Economic Release Snapshot: Hiring Accelerates in May

Looking Back at the Markets in May and Ahead to June 2024

Q1 2024 Earnings Season Review: Building Expectations

Market Thoughts for June 2024 [Video]

Economic Release Snapshot: Personal Spending and Income Growth Slows

Economic Release Snapshot: Durable Goods Orders Improve in April

Headlines, Sentiment, or Data: How to Gauge a Country’s Health

Monthly Market Risk Update: May 2024 [SlideShare]

Economic Release Snapshot: Consumer Inflation Slows in April

The Shifting Sands of the Market: A Challenge for Asset Allocators

Economic Risk Factor Update: May 2024 [SlideShare]

Economic Release Snapshot: Consumer Sentiment Slides in May

Looking Back at the Markets in April and Ahead to May 2024

Economic Release Snapshot: Hiring Slows in April

Digesting the Fed: Higher for Longer and Longer

Market Thoughts for May 2024 [Video]

Economic Release Snapshot: GDP Growth Slows in the First Quarter

Global Inflation Outlook: Where Do We Go from Here?

Monthly Market Risk Update: April 2024 [SlideShare]

Economic Release Snapshot: Retail Sales Surge in March

Economic Risk Factor Update: April 2024 [SlideShare]

Economic Release Snapshot: Consumer Inflation Comes in Hot

How Portfolio Managers Think About Risk

Q1 2024 Earnings Season Kickoff: The Unofficial Start to Spring

Economic Release Snapshot: Hiring Accelerates in March

Looking Back at the Markets in Q1 and Ahead to Q2 2024

Continued Momentum for the S&P 500?

Market Thoughts for April 2024 [Video]

Economic Release Snapshot: Durable Goods Orders Rebound in February

Economic Release Snapshot: Housing Heats Up

Digesting the Fed: Markets and the Fed Seeing Eye to Eye (For Now)

Monthly Market Risk Update: March 2024 [SlideShare]

Economic Release Snapshot: Inflation Accelerates in February

What’s Worrying Investors?

Economic Risk Factor Update: March 2024 [SlideShare]

Q4 2023 Earnings: The Winter Thaw Has Begun

Economic Release Snapshot: Hiring Accelerates in February

International Women’s Day: Investing in Women

Looking Back at the Markets in February and Ahead to March 2024

Market Thoughts for March 2024 [Video]

Economic Release Snapshot: Personal Income and Spending Grow in January

A Start to Remember for the Markets

Economic Release Snapshot: Existing Home Sales Rise in January

A Portfolio Manager’s View on Markets

Economic Release Snapshot: Inflation Comes in Hot in January

Monthly Market Risk Update: February 2024 [SlideShare]

Economic Release Snapshot: Service Sector Confidence Improves in January

Economic Risk Factor Update: February 2024 [SlideShare]

Looking Back at the Markets in January and Ahead to February 2024

Economic Release Snapshot: Hiring Surges in January

Market Thoughts for February 2024 [Video]

Digesting the Fed: Committee Members Need More Time

Market Outlook: Strong January, Strong Year?

Economic Release Snapshot: Economic Growth Beats Expectations

Economic Release Snapshot: Consumer Sentiment Soars in January

Will India Steal China’s Thunder Within Emerging Markets?

Monthly Market Risk Update: January 2024 [SlideShare]

Economic Release Snapshot: Mixed December Inflation Reports

Q4 2023 Earnings Preview: A Glass Half-Full for 2024?

Can Market Momentum Continue into the Election Year?

Economic Risk Factor Update: January 2024 [SlideShare]

Navigating Uncertainty: What We’re Hearing from Portfolio Managers

Economic Release Snapshot: Hiring Accelerates in December

Looking Back at the Markets in December and Ahead to January 2024

Market Thoughts for January 2024 [Video]

Economic Release Snapshot: A Busy Start to the Year

Economic Release Snapshot: Consumer Confidence on the Upswing

Merry Christmas to All

What's the Outlook for the 60/40 Portfolio?

Monthly Market Risk Update: December 2023 [SlideShare]

Taking the Long View: Where Will the Economy and Markets Be in 2028?

Economic Release Snapshot: Inflation Moderates in November

What Mattered This Week? Focus on the Fed

Digesting the Fed: Rates Hold Steady, but Cuts to Come?

Economic Risk Factor Update: December 2023 [SlideShare]

Economic Release Snapshot: Hiring Accelerates in November

What Mattered This Week? U.S. Economy Chugging Along

Looking Back at the Markets in November and Ahead to December 2023

Market Thoughts for December 2023 [Video]

Economic Release Snapshot: Personal Income and Spending Growth Slows

What Mattered This Week? All About Interest Rates (Again)

Will December’s S&P 500 Return Matter for 2024?

Will the Fed Cut Interest Rates Soon?

Economic Release Snapshot: Housing Sales Slow in October

What Mattered This Week? Fed Minutes, Consumer Sentiment

Thanksgiving Food for Thought: The Parable of the Turkey

Q3 2023 Earnings: A Little Taste of Everything This Thanksgiving

Economic Release Snapshot: Inflation Moderates in October

What Mattered This Week? Progress on Inflation, Markets Bounce

The Federal Deficit and Debt: A Painful Problem to Solve

Monthly Market Risk Update: November 2023 [SlideShare]

Economic Release Snapshot: Consumer Sentiment Sours in November

What Mattered This Week? Economy and Markets Remain Resilient

What Would Happen if the Fed Issued a Digital Dollar?

Economic Risk Factor Update: November 2023 [SlideShare]

Looking Back at the Markets in October and Ahead to November 2023

Economic Release Snapshot: Hiring Slows in October

What Mattered This Week? Economy Slows, Markets Cheer

Digesting the Fed

Market Thoughts for November 2023 [Video]

Bear Market or Intermediate Correction?

Economic Release Snapshot: GDP Growth Accelerates in Third Quarter

What Mattered This Week? Markets Kept Dropping

Curbed Appeal for Would-Be Homebuyers

Economic Release Snapshot: Housing Sales Slow in September

What Mattered This Week? Interest Rates Jump

Monthly Market Risk Update: October 2023 [SlideShare]

Economic Release Snapshot: Consumer Confidence Falls in October

What Mattered This Week: Hamas Invasion of Israel

Q3 2023 Earnings Preview: Do You Believe in Bad Omens?

Economic Risk Factor Update: October 2023 [SlideShare]

Looking Back at the Markets in Q3 and Ahead to Q4 2023

Economic Release Snapshot: Hiring Surges in September

What Mattered This Week? Interest Rates and the Jobs Report

Will Markets Rally by Year-End?

Market Thoughts for October 2023 [Video]

Economic Release Snapshot: Personal Income and Spending Grow in August

What Mattered This Week? The Real Economy

Considering the Consequences of a Government Shutdown

Economic Release Snapshot: Housing Sales Slump in August

What Mattered This Week? All About Interest Rates

Economic Release Snapshot: Inflation Accelerates in August

What Mattered This Week? Inflation, UAW Strike, and Consumers

Monthly Market Risk Update: September 2023 [SlideShare]


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February 19, 2025

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January 22, 2025

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December 17, 2024

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