The reports released in December showed solid economic growth to finish the year. Hiring accelerated, as 217,000 jobs were added in December against 179,000 jobs in November. Consumer confidence also improved notably, but service sector confidence fell. The yield curve inversion widened again in December, marking two consecutive months of an increasing inversion.
Given the mixed results, we have left the overall risk level at yellow for now.
View a breakdown of the risks we’re watching in this SlideShare.