The Independent Market Observer

Economic Release Snapshot: GDP Growth Accelerates in Third Quarter

Posted by Sam Millette

This entry was posted on Oct 30, 2023 10:15:13 AM

and tagged In the News

Leave a comment

Monday UpdateEach week, we break down the latest U.S. economic reports, including what the results mean for the overall health of the economy. Here, you will find how economists’ forecasts compare with actual results, key takeaways to consider, as well as a list of what’s on tap for the week ahead.

Reports for the Week of October 23

Third-quarter GDP growth, advance estimate (Thursday)

  • Expected/prior month GDP growth: +4.5%/+2.1%
  • Actual existing GDP growth: +4.9%

Economic growth accelerated more than expected in the third quarter, as a rise in personal consumption growth and imports fueled the fastest quarterly economic growth since early 2021. While the strong growth during the quarter highlighted the strength of the current economic expansion, economists expect to see slower growth in the quarters ahead.

Durable goods orders, September, preliminary (Thursday)

  • Expected/prior durable goods orders monthly change: 1.9%/–0.1%
  • Actual durable goods orders change: +4.7%
  • Expected/prior core durable goods orders monthly change: 0.2%/0.5%
  • Actual core durable goods orders change: +0.5%

Headline and core durable goods orders improved more than expected in September, which was a good sign for business investment.

Personal spending and personal income, September (Friday)

  • Expected/prior personal income monthly change: +0.4%/+0.4%
  • Actual personal income change: +0.3%
  • Expected/prior personal spending monthly change: +0.5%/+0.4%
  • Actual personal spending change: +0.7%

Personal income and spending continued to rise in September, as the larger-than-expected increase in spending marked six consecutive months of spending growth.

Upcoming Reports for the Week of October 30

Conference Board Consumer Confidence, October (Tuesday)

Consumer confidence is set to drop in October, which would mark three consecutive months of declining confidence.

ISM Manufacturing, October (Wednesday)

Manufacturer confidence is expected to remain unchanged in October after improving more than expected in September. The index is set to stay in contractionary territory during the month.

FOMC rate decision (Wednesday)

The Fed is expected to keep the federal funds rate unchanged at the conclusion of its November meeting, but Fed chair Jerome Powell may signal hawkish intent at future meetings in his post-meeting press conference.

Employment report, October (Friday)

Economists expect to see 175,000 jobs added in October following an unexpected hiring surge in September.

ISM Services, October (Friday)

Service sector confidence is set to fall modestly in October but remain in expansionary territory during the month.

 


Subscribe via Email

Crash-Test Investing

Hot Topics



New Call-to-action

Conversations

Archives

see all

Subscribe


Disclosure

The information on this website is intended for informational/educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy or sell any security or investment product. Please contact your financial professional for more information specific to your situation.

Certain sections of this commentary contain forward-looking statements that are based on our reasonable expectations, estimates, projections, and assumptions. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve certain risks and uncertainties, which are difficult to predict. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Diversification does not assure a profit or protect against loss in declining markets.

The S&P 500 Index is a broad-based measurement of changes in stock market conditions based on the average performance of 500 widely held common stocks. All indices are unmanaged and investors cannot invest directly in an index.

The MSCI EAFE (Europe, Australia, Far East) Index is a free float‐adjusted market capitalization index that is designed to measure the equity market performance of developed markets, excluding the U.S. and Canada. The MSCI EAFE Index consists of 21 developed market country indices.

One basis point (bp) is equal to 1/100th of 1 percent, or 0.01 percent.

The VIX (CBOE Volatility Index) measures the market’s expectation of 30-day volatility across a wide range of S&P 500 options.

The forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio divides the current share price of the index by its estimated future earnings.

Third-party links are provided to you as a courtesy. We make no representation as to the completeness or accuracy of information provided on these websites. Information on such sites, including third-party links contained within, should not be construed as an endorsement or adoption by Commonwealth of any kind. You should consult with a financial advisor regarding your specific situation.

Member FINRASIPC

Please review our Terms of Use

Commonwealth Financial Network®