---
title: Is There a Case for International Equities?
description: Commonwealth's Chris Fasciano, senior portfolio manager, explores the case for international equities in today's market landscape.
image: https://blog.commonwealth.com/hubfs/Rebrand-Blog-Images/IMO-images/Intl-Markets/Intl-Markets-d.png
---

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# [Is There a Case for International Equities?](https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/is-there-a-case-for-international-equities)

Posted by [Chris Fasciano](https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/author/chris-fasciano) 

This entry was posted on  Jun 20, 2024, 11:58:05 AM

 and tagged [Commentary](https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/topic/commentary) 

[Leave a comment](https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/is-there-a-case-for-international-equities#comments-listing)

![Intl-Markets-d](https://blog.commonwealth.com/hs-fs/hubfs/Rebrand-Blog-Images/IMO-images/Intl-Markets/Intl-Markets-d.png?width=300&height=200&name=Intl-Markets-d.png)As the fears about Y2K dissipated and the dot-com boom entered its last few months, the world’s equity investment opportunity set was split roughly 50 percent in the U.S. and 50 percent in the rest of the world. Fast-forward to today, and approximately 64 percent of global market capitalization is in the U.S. This shift has resulted from the U.S. equity market’s outperformance since the end of the great financial crisis more than a decade ago.

![international equities\_062024 \_1](https://blog.commonwealth.com/hs-fs/hubfs/Brad_Images_IMO_Blog/Charts/international%20equities_062024%20_1.png?width=500&height=329&name=international%20equities_062024%20_1.png)

When you must go back more than 15 years to find a sustainable period of outperformance for international equities, it raises questions for investors. Should an allocation to the world outside the U.S. still be a part of a portfolio? And, if so, what size should that allocation be?

But the fact remains that the rest of the world makes up 35 percent of global markets—representing a lot of companies and potentially a lot of investment opportunities for fundamental investors.

##### A Valuation Comparison

There are compelling quantitative reasons to include international equities in a diversified portfolio. The biggest one is that international equities are cheap relative to their recent history and U.S. markets.

![international equities\_062024 \_2](https://blog.commonwealth.com/hs-fs/hubfs/Brad_Images_IMO_Blog/Charts/international%20equities_062024%20_2.png?width=500&height=316&name=international%20equities_062024%20_2.png)

 

But this has been the case for a while. The last time international equities traded at a premium to U.S. equities was in the early aftermath of the great financial crisis, which coincided with the beginning of the period of outperformance for U.S. equities. As I have mentioned in previous blog posts, cheap alone does not make for a compelling case for long-term outperformance.

##### What About Fundamentals?

Interest rates are certainly an important part of the fundamental outlook for stocks. Historically, the current level of interest rates would argue for international stocks to begin to work better on a relative basis.

![international equities\_062024 \_3](https://blog.commonwealth.com/hs-fs/hubfs/Brad_Images_IMO_Blog/Charts/international%20equities_062024%20_3.png?width=500&height=387&name=international%20equities_062024%20_3.png)  
![international equities\_062024 \_3\_source](https://blog.commonwealth.com/hs-fs/hubfs/Brad_Images_IMO_Blog/Charts/international%20equities_062024%20_3_source.png?width=475&height=48&name=international%20equities_062024%20_3_source.png)

Understandably, international equities have performed better as rates move higher. There has been more of a value orientation in international markets than there has been at home. The lack of a true innovative technology sector overseas has been part of the reason for international’s underperformance while U.S. equities outperformed. But 10-year Treasury yields moved over 3 percent in the summer of 2022 and have been there for the past two years. While international stocks did rally for a short period (1.3 years), as seen in the first chart, it didn’t last. U.S. markets have returned to their leadership position over the past year.

##### Economic Growth Required

At the end of the day, sustainable fundamentals to attract investor interest require accelerating economic growth, which provides improving business conditions for corporations and improving earnings. U.S. economic growth has certainly been more resilient than most people thought it would be given the Fed’s rate increase cycle. And there is no doubt that it has been far more resilient than that of the rest of the world.

According to the International Monetary Fund’s World Economic Update (April 2024), U.S. real GDP growth is estimated to be 2.7 percent this year, with Japan growing 0.9 percent and the Euro Area growing 0.8 percent. This growth comes on the heels of the U.S. growing faster in 2023 as well. The outperformance of U.S. markets over that timeframe has been driven by better fundamentals here than exist abroad.

##### The Headwinds Are Blowing

International markets have also faced headwinds from geopolitical risks. While risks exist in all markets and all countries, international economies have dealt with the impact of Covid policy, the war between Russia and Ukraine and the conflict between Israel and Hamas, supply chain disruptions, and the ongoing disputes between the U.S. and China around trade policy. These headwinds have weighed on both the economic outlook and what the right valuation for international stocks should be.

##### The Path Ahead for International Equities

This discussion is meant to provide a broad look at international stocks. But in every type of market landscape, there is always a portion of the opportunity set that is attractive for investors willing to put in the time no matter what is going on at the headline level. That is true of international equities as well. There are stocks that have attractive valuations and growth profiles. While they might not get the attention of the so-called Magnificent Seven, they can add value to portfolios. And as we have seen time and again, things can change quickly for the global economy and markets. Economic growth here and abroad can begin to converge, providing a tailwind for international companies and their future earnings growth.

Diversification within portfolios means that you will own some of what is working currently and some of what will be working at some point in the future. There is a place in portfolios for an allocation to international equities as a way to manage risk and diversify return streams. But like all other asset classes, the past is no guarantee of future performance, and an international allocation must be rightsized for the current opportunity set.

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The information on this website is intended for informational/educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy or sell any security or investment product. Please contact your financial professional for more information specific to your situation.

Certain sections of this commentary contain forward-looking statements that are based on our reasonable expectations, estimates, projections, and assumptions. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve certain risks and uncertainties, which are difficult to predict. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Diversification does not assure a profit or protect against loss in declining markets.

The S&P 500 Index is a broad-based measurement of changes in stock market conditions based on the average performance of 500 widely held common stocks. All indices are unmanaged and investors cannot invest directly in an index.

The MSCI EAFE (Europe, Australia, Far East) Index is a free float‐adjusted market capitalization index that is designed to measure the equity market performance of developed markets, excluding the U.S. and Canada. The MSCI EAFE Index consists of 21 developed market country indices.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average is computed by summing the prices of the stocks of 30 large companies and then dividing that total by an adjusted value, one which has been adjusted over the years to account for the effects of stock splits on the prices of the 30 companies. Dividends are reinvested to reflect the actual performance of the underlying securities.

The Russell 2000 is a market-capitalization weighted index, with dividends reinvested, that consists of the 2,000 smallest companies within the Russell 3000 Index. It is often used to track the performance of U.S. small market capitalization stocks.

One basis point (bp) is equal to 1/100th of 1 percent, or 0.01 percent.

The VIX (CBOE Volatility Index) measures the market’s expectation of 30-day volatility across a wide range of S&P 500 options.

The forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio divides the current share price of the index by its estimated future earnings.

Third-party links are provided to you as a courtesy. We make no representation as to the completeness or accuracy of information provided on these websites. Information on such sites, including third-party links contained within, should not be construed as an endorsement or adoption by Commonwealth of any kind. You should consult with a financial advisor regarding your specific situation.

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