Thanksgiving Food for Thought: The Parable of the Turkey

November 22, 2017

Once upon a time, a turkey hatched in the dead of winter. He lived in a nice warm coop, had plentiful corn and seeds to eat, and spent much of his poult-hood playing with all of the other little turkeys.

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Is a New Crisis Brewing in Germany and Europe?

November 21, 2017

Many of us were under the assumption that we could go into the holiday season with Europe pretty much checked off the risk list. The economic news is good and getting better, and the major elections that have caused so much angst have passed. Not so fast, bub.

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Appearance on CNBC's Power Lunch, November 20, 2017 [Video]

November 20, 2017

Is recent weakness in the markets owing more to political risks than to economic ones? Today, I appeared on CNBC's Power Lunch to share my thoughts, including the potential effects of tax reform and political conditions abroad.

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Monday Update: Waning Storm Effects, Growth Resumes

November 20, 2017

Last week was a busy one on the economic front, and the news was good to very good. Retail sales were in line with expectations, despite some headwinds, while industry and manufacturing did very well in bouncing back from the hurricanes. Plus, the housing industry showed signs of acceleration. Let’s take a closer look.

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What the Tax Bills Could Mean for You

November 17, 2017

With the passage of the House’s tax reform bill, the Republicans have moved significantly closer to one of their key political goals. Of course, the Senate bill still needs to pass that chamber, and then the reconciled bill must pass both chambers. But the fact that the fractious Republican factions in the House have come together is a signal that passage is a real possibility. For the first time, in my opinion, the odds are now better than even. So, let’s take a look at what we know so far—and what these bills could mean for you.

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What Is the Yield Curve Anyway?

November 16, 2017

Taking another page from the “things people may not understand” book, today I want to talk about the yield curve. Why? The immediate reason is a spate of coverage in the press about how the inversion of the yield curve may be a signal of trouble ahead, which has prompted questions from clients and advisors. So, let’s take a look at what the yield curve is and how we should analyze it.

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Stock Market Pullbacks and Bounce Backs

November 15, 2017

Yesterday, I did an interview with TheStreet where I stated that I thought the market had some more room to rise before the end of the year. Given some weak days and rising fears that the rally could be breaking down, I thought it would be worthwhile to outline exactly why I think that—and what I will be watching for to see if I need to change my mind.

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Upcoming Appearances

Tune in to CNBC's Squawk Box on Monday, November 27, at 6:15 A.M. ET to hear Brad talk about the markets. Check your local listings for availability.

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