The Independent Market Observer

Opportunities in Adversity: Oil

February 23, 2016

Following up on last week’s post about real risks and the opportunities that could arise from them, let’s take a look at the energy industry. With oil prices dropping to multiyear lows, companies and countries struggling to stay in business and pay their bills, and new suppliers like Iran reentering the market, the industry has been in better shape.

But could this slump also present opportunities?

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Monday Update: Two Steps Forward, One Step Back

February 22, 2016

Last week’s economic news was mixed, with signs of slowing in housing even as industry appeared to stabilize.

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More About Negative Interest Rates

February 19, 2016

My post the other day about negative interest rates in Japan sparked some questions from readers, so let’s dig a bit deeper. (We’ll return to our analysis of global risks and opportunities next week.)

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Assessing Risks in the Rest of the World

February 18, 2016

As the U.S. recovery continues and the economy normalizes, the problems—and opportunities—elsewhere in the world are becoming more important to American citizens and investors.

There are two big questions we need to ask ourselves:

  • First, what are the risks we should be paying attention to?
  • And second, where are the opportunities?
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Is It Worth Investing in Emerging Markets?

February 17, 2016

Today's post is from Anuradha Gaggar of Commonwealth’s Investment Research team.

The recent market turmoil has prompted much soul-searching among emerging markets investors: can they continue to justify an allocation to the asset class?

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Monday Update: Retail Spending Better Than Expected

February 16, 2016

Overall, the data last week was encouraging on the consumer side, and we’ll find out this week whether that translates to the business side as well.

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More Volatility—Plus More Good News

February 12, 2016

Yesterday was another bad one for the markets. Worries continue to build around the energy sector, the European banking system, emerging markets . . . the list goes on and on.

Clearly, stock markets worldwide are betting on a serious downturn. Strangely, though, economists in general (myself included) think the global economy is much more likely to continue growing than move into recession.

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What the Heck Is Going On in the Markets?

February 11, 2016

When I woke up this morning, I checked the markets as I usually do, and my first thought was—paraphrased—what the heck? What happened last night to drive Asian and particularly European markets down that hard?

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Appearance on CNBC's Power Lunch, February 10, 2016 [Video]

February 11, 2016

On Wednesday, I joined CNBC Power Lunch hosts Tyler Mathisen, Michelle Caruso-Cabrera, and Melissa Lee to discuss recent market volatility and how politics could affect investing, particularly the health care sector.

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The Market’s New Year’s Resolution

February 10, 2016

Today’s post comes from guest contributor Peter Essele, a portfolio manager on Commonwealth’s Preferred Portfolio Services® Select platform.

Like many of us, the equity markets have started 2016 with a New Year’s resolution: get in shape.

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Certain sections of this commentary contain forward-looking statements that are based on our reasonable expectations, estimates, projections, and assumptions. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve certain risks and uncertainties, which are difficult to predict. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Diversification does not assure a profit or protect against loss in declining markets.

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