The Independent Market Observer

Monday Update: Business and Consumer Confidence Still Rising

December 12, 2016

Once again, last week’s economic reports were surprisingly strong, with most consumer and business data beating expectations, often significantly.

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Appearance on CNBC's Power Lunch, December 8, 2016 [Video]

December 9, 2016

The markets have continued to rally since the election, reaching all-time high after all-time high. Should we be nervous about a short-term pullpack? 

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Monday Update: More Strong Data for Consumers and Business

December 5, 2016

Last week’s economic reports were surprisingly strong, with both consumer and business data beating expectations, often by significant amounts. These results support the idea that the economy continues to improve—and that the improvement appears to be accelerating.

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Problems . . .

December 1, 2016

I’ve been pretty optimistic about the U.S. economy and stock markets over the past couple of weeks, and I stand by that. Almost all of the news is surprisingly good and likely to improve even further.

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The Stock Market's Rise: Will It Continue?

November 30, 2016

Over the past couple of weeks, everyone’s been wondering how long the stock market's “Trump bounce” will last. Several people have asked me whether a pullback is due and how bad it might be. Even as markets move higher, there is quite a bit of worry.

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Monday Update: Home Sales and Business Orders Strong

November 28, 2016

Overall, last week’s data was quite positive. Existing home sales did very well, while there were signs that business investment is looking up. Although the news was not all good, most of it was.

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Black Friday by the Numbers

November 25, 2016

With everyone out shopping today, we'll soon be seeing the usual slew of Black Friday data (and the instant economic analysis that goes along with it). 

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Monday Update: Consumers Still Shopping

November 21, 2016

Last week’s economic data offered an encouraging picture of where the Trump era will be starting from.

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Monday Update: Better Than Expected

November 14, 2016

Last week’s big economic and market news was the election. What might it tell us about the future? Let’s take a closer look.

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Appearance on CNBC's Worldwide Exchange, November 9, 2016 [Video]

November 9, 2016

This morning, I was on CNBC’s Worldwide Exchange discussing deregulation and offering thoughts on market volatility in the wake of the presidential election.

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