Each week, we break down the latest U.S. economic reports, including what the results mean for the overall health of the economy. Here, you will find how economists’ forecasts compare with actual results, key takeaways to consider, as well as a list of what’s on tap for the week ahead. 

After a massive surge in homebuying throughout the pandemic, cracks are starting to show. Demand has begun to wane, while supply is increasing at the fastest pace in decades. So, will we see a moderation in prices if supply continues to outpace demand in the latter half of the year and into 2023?

What a whirlwind year it has been in the financial markets. Not since 1994 have investors seen simultaneous declines in both equities and fixed income, prompting many to question the viability of holding both in a portfolio context. Negative performance across asset classes during the first half of 2022 challenged even the most ardent believers of diversification and modern portfolio theory, leaving many of us to wonder whether we are entering a new paradigm for asset allocation. Should investors abandon the view that stocks and bonds can provide complementary exposures in a portfolio? Disclaimer: I don’t think so.

Each week, we break down the latest U.S. economic reports, including what the results mean for the overall health of the economy. Here, you will find how economists’ forecasts compare with actual results, key takeaways to consider, as well as a list of what’s on tap for the week ahead. 

My colleague Sam Millette, manager, fixed income on Commonwealth’s Investment Management and Research team, has helped me put together this month’s Market Risk Update. Thanks for the assist, Sam!

Equity markets rebounded in July after experiencing widespread losses in the second quarter. The S&P 500 gained 9.22 percent during the month, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average increased 6.82 percent. The Nasdaq Composite saw the largest rise, as the technology-heavy index was up 12.39 percent in July. These strong results were encouraging, but they were not enough to offset declines from earlier in the year.

Each week, we break down the latest U.S. economic reports, including what the results mean for the overall health of the economy. Here, you will find how economists’ forecasts compare with actual results, key takeaways to consider, as well as a list of what’s on tap for the week ahead. 

Earlier this week, we saw the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report was down from last month and generally well below expectations—in this case, a good thing. Today, we got the Producer Price Index (PPI) report, which was also down from last month and less than expected. Inflation appears to have peaked and is potentially on track to decline.

My colleague Sam Millette, manager, fixed income on Commonwealth’s Investment Management and Research team, has helped me put together this month’s Economic Risk Factor Update. Thanks for the assist, Sam!

As we negotiate the recession or no recession debate, one of the key data points is what’s called a yield curve inversion, which is a greatly intimidating technical term for something that is really pretty simple: the interest rate on a long-term bond minus the interest rate on a short-term bond. But economists can’t really be intimidating if we just say that!

Each week, we break down the latest U.S. economic reports, including what the results mean for the overall health of the economy. Here, you will find how economists’ forecasts compare with actual results, key takeaways to consider, as well as a list of what’s on tap for the week ahead.