Market Thoughts for July 2020 [Video]

July 1, 2020

June was a great month for the markets. In part, markets were reacting to progress on the viral front, with drops in the daily case growth rate and increased testing. They were also responding to the continued economic recovery. Millions of jobs returned, and consumer confidence bounced back. Of course, there were setbacks, with some states seeing an uptick in virus cases.

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Why Has the Market Disconnected from the Pandemic?

June 30, 2020

Right now, we seem to be seeing a disconnect between the rising case counts and the rising stock market. Yes, there was a bit of a pullback on the news that case growth was hitting a new high. But since then, the markets have started to bounce again, even as case counts continue to increase. I get many questions about this disconnect. Indeed, on the surface, it seems to make no sense. What is going on here?

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Monday Update: Personal Spending Rebounds in May

June 29, 2020

This was a full week of economic updates, including reports on housing, consumer confidence and spending, and durable goods orders. May’s personal spending report was a highlight, as consumers showed they were willing and able to go out and spend once reopening efforts began in earnest. This will be another busy week on the economic update front, with reports on manufacturer and consumer confidence, international trade, and June employment.

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Coronavirus Update: June 26, 2020 [Video]

June 26, 2020

Today, I'd like to discuss the coronavirus, including the economic and market implications. We’ve had some setbacks on the pandemic front this week, with notable outbreaks in Arizona, California, Florida, and Texas. Although we’re not yet seeing a national second wave, the risks are rising. Both the daily spread rate (now at 1.6 percent per day) and daily case growth (about 40,000 per day) have jumped from last week, in large part due to the four outbreak states. Despite this concerning medical news, the economic news was good. Layoffs continued to decline, while hiring continued to improve. Plus, with metrics like consumer confidence, consumer spending, and housing all showing signs of improvement, it appears the overall recovery remains well on track.

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Pandemic Growth Picks Up, But Economic Reopening Continues

June 25, 2020

The bad news this past week is that the chances of a national second wave of infections are increasing as localized outbreaks in several states continue to get worse. The states in question are Arizona, California, Florida, and Texas, with the Carolinas also under pressure. All have shown significant spikes in cases in recent days. Multiple other states are also seeing expanded case growth, although not yet at the levels of those four. While the virus remains under control in many states, the breadth and magnitude of the outbreaks continue to increase the risk at a national level.

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Green Shoots for International Equities?

June 24, 2020

Brad here. One of the questions I have been hearing a lot recently is whether it still makes sense to invest in international stocks. Indeed, it is a good question. Here, Anu Gaggar, Commonwealth’s international analyst, provides a timely and compelling look at why international markets may still make sense in your portfolio. Thanks, Anu!

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Is This the Second Wave?

June 23, 2020

COVID-19 case growth has spiked up recently in several states, taking the national case growth rate up above 30,000 per day for three of the past four days. So, do we have a second wave on our hands? And if so, what does that mean?

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Tune into NASDAQ's Trade Talks on Thursday, July 7, at 2:00 P.M. ET to hear Brad talk about the mid-year outlook. Watch at

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