The Independent Market Observer

Market Update for the Quarter Ending December 31, 2012

January 3, 2013

A year that investors can celebrate

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12/10/12 – Update on the Rest of the World

December 10, 2012

Recently, my posts have focused on the U.S., as that’s where most of the news has been, but I wanted to take a look at the rest of the world. Although nothing particularly urgent is happening, many issues we have discussed before continue to cook.

Europe

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Market Update for the Month Ending November 30, 2012

December 4, 2012

Volatility in financial markets

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11/29/12 – Baby Steps Forward on the Recovery

November 29, 2012

Slowly, slowly we move forward. Economic growth for the third quarter was revised upward to 2.7 percent, well above the initial estimate of 2.0 percent, but slightly below the expected revision of 2.8 percent. This is a good result, but it probably will weaken in the next quarter, as quite a bit of it was due to inventory buildup, which will be drawn down.

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11/28/12 - A Lot More Good Than Bad

November 28, 2012

Kind of an interesting day, with some good news in the U.S. and a mix of good and bad about equally balanced in Europe. Let’s take one at a time.

The U.S. economy: Housing continues to perform strongly, with house prices up for six months in a row by an average of 3 percent over the past year. Even the worst-hit cities, such as Las Vegas, Phoenix, and even Detroit, have shown price gains. The continued strength in housing hit the front page of the Financial Times (FT) and A3 in the Wall Street Journal (WSJ), and it is a key part of the front-page New York Times (NYT) article, “California Finds Economic Gloom Starting to Lift.” California is often a leading indicator of the rest of the country, so this is particularly good news.

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11/26/12 - European Update

November 26, 2012

I haven’t been writing much about Europe recently, and it’s not because there hasn’t been anything happening. There has been. But because most of it has been inside baseball, with little immediate effect (at least here in the U.S.), it hasn’t been as interesting as other developments here.

That largely remains the case, but it’s worth taking a look just to keep in touch with what’s been going on. The big news is that a bailout package for Greece is just about to be finalized. This will be the final bailout, as the Germans are having domestic political trouble getting approval for more cash.

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11/19/12 – The Life and Death of Great American Junk Food

November 19, 2012

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11/15/12 – Back to the Wall of Worries

November 15, 2012

Markets got knocked again yesterday, as November proves to be a tough month. After the run of good news we had for a while, the bad, or at least worrisome, news is starting to pile up.

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Market Update for the Month Ending October 31, 2012

November 6, 2012

Financial markets react to uncertainty

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Market Thoughts Video for November 2012

November 5, 2012

[youtube=http://youtu.be/koalukAlgiM?hd=1]

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Certain sections of this commentary contain forward-looking statements that are based on our reasonable expectations, estimates, projections, and assumptions. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve certain risks and uncertainties, which are difficult to predict. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Diversification does not assure a profit or protect against loss in declining markets.

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