Market risks come in three flavors: recession risk, economic shock risk, and risks within the market itself. So, what do these risks look like for September? Let’s take a closer look at the numbers.
September 11, 2018
Market risks come in three flavors: recession risk, economic shock risk, and risks within the market itself. So, what do these risks look like for September? Let’s take a closer look at the numbers.
September 10, 2018
Last week was a short but very busy period for economic news, with looks at business sentiment, the trade balance, and, most important, the job market. This week’s data will start with prices and concerns over inflation.
September 7, 2018
Last month, I reported that business confidence had pulled back in July and that job growth had weakened. But the data bounced back in the most recent report, for August, suggesting that July was an outlier and the positive trends remain in place. While the question of whether the tariffs are finally starting to have an effect remains open, the current data indicates that, if so, the effect is minor.
September 6, 2018
As we head into September, it’s a good time to take a look back at the markets in August, plus what we might expect in the month ahead.
September 5, 2018
Last week was all about the consumer—what they are earning, what they are spending, and how confident they are. The week ahead is short but busy, with looks at business sentiment, the trade balance, and, most important, the job market.
September 4, 2018
It was another good month here in the U.S., with the stock market up across the board. The economy, consumer confidence, and hiring all continued to grow. This growth is translating into corporate profits as well, with 80 percent of companies beating expectations.
August 31, 2018
As the days get shorter, the kids head back to school, and everyone turns their attention back to work after the summer, it seems appropriate to take a day to celebrate everyone who works. It seems even more appropriate to have that celebration by taking a day off to go to the beach, camp, or do whatever it is you enjoy—spending some quality time with family and friends.
August 30, 2018
As we approach the end of summer (I know, not technically), it seems like it never really happened. During most summers, a lack of economic news reduces me to writing about lobster rolls. This summer, however, there was no shortage of things to write about.
August 30, 2018
Will the economy remain healthy in 2019, especially as the effects of the tax cuts start to fade? I talked about this and more earlier today on CNBC's Squawk Box.
August 29, 2018
I just got back from 10 days in Iceland with my family. It was a wonderful trip. We saw and hiked waterfalls, glaciers, and volcano craters. We also went on a whale watch, where we got within yards of humpback whales and saw a very rare whale pod (not normally seen in Icelandic waters). As a family, we had a great time—highly recommend!
