The Independent Market Observer

Kindness, Work, and the Worker Shortfall

Posted by Brad McMillan, CFA®, CFP®

Find me on:

This entry was posted on Oct 15, 2021 2:29:53 PM

and tagged Commentary

Leave a comment

worker shortfallI’ve gotten a lot of positive feedback on yesterday’s post (thank you!) on how we should be kind, to others and ourselves, given the unprecedented and long-lasting conditions we have been fighting. As I thought more about it, I realized it also resonated with one of the key economic issues we are seeing today: the decision by millions of people to simply drop out of the labor force. The headlines today have multiple references to how people are simply choosing not to work and wondering when, and if, that will change.

What Does Work Mean Now?

I more than suspect the two things are linked. As people struggle with their own and their loved ones’ challenges, work comes to seem less important. In the aftermath of the pandemic, when people didn’t work because they couldn’t, we now have a large part of the population that has had a chance to reflect on what work means—and what it doesn’t. And with many workers getting relatively large wage increases, it seems to be that their partners now have the economic freedom to choose not to work.

In other words, things really are different in the job market now than they were before the pandemic. When you put all of these changes together, they explain most of the changes in the labor market, including the shortfall in workers we are now seeing. Put a bit more briefly and colorfully, companies are having trouble hiring because a lot of people had time to think during the lockdowns. After thinking about it, they decided their jobs stunk—and that they didn’t want to go back.

This issue warrants, and will get, considerably more thought and analysis. I have already written about some of the demographic factors behind the labor shortfall, but the social ones are becoming more important, both now and in the future. This is likely the most influential story of the post-pandemic era. We will be talking much more about it over the next couple of years.

Be Kind

But for the moment, I am going to be kind to myself and cut this short. It has been a busy couple of weeks, and I plan to start the weekend early. Have a good one!


Subscribe via Email

New call-to-action
Crash-Test Investing

Hot Topics



New Call-to-action

Conversations

Archives

see all

Subscribe


Disclosure

The information on this website is intended for informational/educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy or sell any security or investment product. Please contact your financial professional for more information specific to your situation.

Certain sections of this commentary contain forward-looking statements that are based on our reasonable expectations, estimates, projections, and assumptions. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve certain risks and uncertainties, which are difficult to predict. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Diversification does not assure a profit or protect against loss in declining markets.

The S&P 500 Index is a broad-based measurement of changes in stock market conditions based on the average performance of 500 widely held common stocks. All indices are unmanaged and investors cannot invest directly in an index.

The MSCI EAFE (Europe, Australia, Far East) Index is a free float‐adjusted market capitalization index that is designed to measure the equity market performance of developed markets, excluding the U.S. and Canada. The MSCI EAFE Index consists of 21 developed market country indices.

One basis point (bp) is equal to 1/100th of 1 percent, or 0.01 percent.

The VIX (CBOE Volatility Index) measures the market’s expectation of 30-day volatility across a wide range of S&P 500 options.

The forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio divides the current share price of the index by its estimated future earnings.

Third-party links are provided to you as a courtesy. We make no representation as to the completeness or accuracy of information provided on these websites. Information on such sites, including third-party links contained within, should not be construed as an endorsement or adoption by Commonwealth of any kind. You should consult with a financial advisor regarding your specific situation.

Member FINRASIPC

Please review our Terms of Use

Commonwealth Financial Network®