---
title: The Independent Market Observer | Outlook. Opinion. Insight. | Europe
description: Europe | Commonwealth’s chief investment officer, Brad McMillan, provides insight on the economic, market, and political events of the day—both domestically and on a global scale.
---

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[![](https://blog.commonwealth.com/hs-fs/file-911419787-jpg/Images_IMO_Blog/Spring_2014/Europe_2.jpg)](https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/the-ties-between-politics-and-economics)

## [The Ties Between Politics and Economics](https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/the-ties-between-politics-and-economics)

September 16, 2014

For many, the study of economics goes back to the eighteenth-century urtext, [*The Wealth of Nations*](http://www.econlib.org/library/Smith/smWNCover.html), by Scottish economist and philosopher Adam Smith. Notably, Smith and his contemporaries did not study economics, but political economy. At the time, there was no notion that economic behavior could be analyzed separately from its context, the political environment. The different governmental structures made the impact of government on human behavior absolutely impossible to separate—the ties between politics and economics were inextricable. To put it another way, it would be like considering the health of the brain while ignoring that of the heart.

[Continue reading →](https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/the-ties-between-politics-and-economics) [Leave a comment](https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/the-ties-between-politics-and-economics#comments-listing)

[![](https://blog.commonwealth.com/hs-fs/file-911424802-jpg/Images_IMO_Blog/Spring_2014/Europe_7.jpg)](https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/norway-big-mountains-big-government-big-oil)

## [Norway: Big Mountains, Big Government, Big Oil](https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/norway-big-mountains-big-government-big-oil)

June 9, 2014

Greetings from Norway!

After a great three days in Oslo, we’re on the train stopped at Ål on our way to Flåm, up in the fjord country. Based on my time here so far, Norway is a wonderful place: the people are nice, the scenery spectacular, and the weather terrific (at least this time of year).

[Continue reading →](https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/norway-big-mountains-big-government-big-oil) [Leave a comment](https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/norway-big-mountains-big-government-big-oil#comments-listing)

## [Market Thoughts for January 2014 Video](https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/2014/01/07/market-thoughts-for-january-2014-video)

January 7, 2014

[http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=\_mx57subjTU](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_mx57subjTU&list=PLainfKCqFlpv0DL989v9yuvz0UyogvMYe&feature=share&index=5)

[Continue reading →](https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/2014/01/07/market-thoughts-for-january-2014-video) [Leave a comment](https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/2014/01/07/market-thoughts-for-january-2014-video#comments-listing)

## [10/7/13 – The Europeanization of American Politics](https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/2013/10/07/10713-the-europeanization-of-american-politics)

October 7, 2013

I hate writing about politics, I really do. But, as we’ve seen repeatedly over the past couple of years, politics is now economics, and, therefore, it behooves us to get to grips with what that means for our country—and our investments.

One of the driving memes about Obamacare has been that it socializes a large section of the economy. The Republicans use this as an argument against, while the Democrats by and large see it as a feature, not a bug. The destination on the horizon, for both, is a more European polity. That means slower growth and stagnation for the Republicans and more social justice for the Democrats—in any event, a more European-style economy.

[Continue reading →](https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/2013/10/07/10713-the-europeanization-of-american-politics) [Leave a comment](https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/2013/10/07/10713-the-europeanization-of-american-politics#comments-listing)

[![](https://blog.commonwealth.com/hs-fs/file-448378060-png/blog-files/4-week-moving-average-of-initial-claims.png)](https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/2013/10/03/10313-no-news-from-dc-some-good-news-from-main-street-and-europe)

## [10/3/13 – No News from DC, Some Good News from Main Street and Europe](https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/2013/10/03/10313-no-news-from-dc-some-good-news-from-main-street-and-europe)

October 3, 2013

Since there’s really no movement in the DC stalemate, I thought I’d highlight some good news today. I continue to keep an eye on the government, and the risk grows daily. At the same time, though, it’s important to remember that there is life beyond the Beltway (for those who don’t know, that’s the highway surrounding Washington, DC) and that the real economy is actually doing pretty well. Even as DC stares and Wall Street trembles, Main Street has some news to be glad about.

**1. Initial jobless claims remain quite low, at 308,000.**

[Continue reading →](https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/2013/10/03/10313-no-news-from-dc-some-good-news-from-main-street-and-europe) [Leave a comment](https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/2013/10/03/10313-no-news-from-dc-some-good-news-from-main-street-and-europe#comments-listing)

## [9/20/13 – The First Question](https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/2013/09/20/92013-the-first-question)

September 20, 2013

You may have noticed a relatively new feature on the blog, “Ask Brad” (on the right side of the page). The first question that came in was a good one from Tim Bourdon, who wrote: “You mentioned that we are in better shape now than five years ago, but Europe is still in a much riskier position. If their market falls apart, are we strong enough to withstand that?”

This is a good question because it cuts to the core of how much risk has actually been reduced, post-financial crisis. The real danger, in 2008 and 2009, was that the financial markets around the world would seize up as banks refused to lend to each other. That would have led to a cascading series of defaults as banks, unable to get their money back from where they had lent it, would in turn be unable to pay their creditors. A downward spiral would result, bringing down the whole system. Europe was a key part of this, and it is this risk that I highlighted in my [earlier post](http://theindependentmarketobserver.com/2013/09/13/91313-five-years-later/).

[Continue reading →](https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/2013/09/20/92013-the-first-question) [Leave a comment](https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/2013/09/20/92013-the-first-question#comments-listing)

## [9/9/13 – No News Is Good News?](https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/2013/09/09/9913-no-news-is-good-news)

September 9, 2013

My expectation, moving into September, was that all the economic issues that had been pretty much left alone during the summer would resurface. The debt ceiling, the situation in Europe, China—all would move back to the front pages.

Boy, was I wrong. Looking at today’s papers, I find no stories about economic problems on the front pages—none. The lead story is Syria, which makes sense. There’s also a story, in both the *New York Times* and the *Wall Street Journal*, with a retrospective of the financial crisis. Old news.

[Continue reading →](https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/2013/09/09/9913-no-news-is-good-news) [Leave a comment](https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/2013/09/09/9913-no-news-is-good-news#comments-listing)

## [9/6/13 - Market Thoughts for September 2013 Video](https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/2013/09/06/9613-market-thoughts-for-september-2013-video)

September 6, 2013

[http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ahs1x1BfIyM](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ahs1x1BfIyM) 

[Continue reading →](https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/2013/09/06/9613-market-thoughts-for-september-2013-video) [Leave a comment](https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/2013/09/06/9613-market-thoughts-for-september-2013-video#comments-listing)

## [8/29/13 – The Sound of Silence](https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/2013/08/29/82913-the-sound-of-silence)

August 29, 2013

One of my earliest musical memories is listening to the song “The Sound of Silence” by Simon & Garfunkel playing on a reel-to-reel tape recorder that my father had brought home when I was very young. I am sure that I had heard music before— on the radio at a minimum—but I remember being very struck by the beauty of the song, particularly the harmony of the voices, in a way that I had never been before. I actually trace my interest in music to that particular song and that particular moment.

I was remembering this in the context of a quiet week in Maine, where I have had the chance to do quite a bit of hiking in fairly unfrequented areas. The area around my cottage has also been quite empty during the week, so I have had a chance to listen to considerably more silence than is normally the case. Silence very definitely has a sound of its own, and, as much as I love Jackson, quiet he is not.

[Continue reading →](https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/2013/08/29/82913-the-sound-of-silence) [Leave a comment](https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/2013/08/29/82913-the-sound-of-silence#comments-listing)

## [8/7/13 - Market Thoughts for August 2013 Video](https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/2013/08/07/market-thoughts-for-august-2013-video)

August 7, 2013

[http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NtiXDhopqmA](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NtiXDhopqmA) 

[Continue reading →](https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/2013/08/07/market-thoughts-for-august-2013-video) [Leave a comment](https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/2013/08/07/market-thoughts-for-august-2013-video#comments-listing)

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- [April 2015 (23)](https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/archive/2015/04)
- [March 2015 (23)](https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/archive/2015/03)
- [February 2015 (22)](https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/archive/2015/02)
- [January 2015 (21)](https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/archive/2015/01)
- [December 2014 (24)](https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/archive/2014/12)
- [November 2014 (19)](https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/archive/2014/11)
- [October 2014 (26)](https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/archive/2014/10)
- [September 2014 (22)](https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/archive/2014/09)
- [August 2014 (24)](https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/archive/2014/08)
- [July 2014 (24)](https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/archive/2014/07)
- [June 2014 (24)](https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/archive/2014/06)
- [May 2014 (25)](https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/archive/2014/05)
- [April 2014 (23)](https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/archive/2014/04)
- [March 2014 (24)](https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/archive/2014/03)
- [February 2014 (20)](https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/archive/2014/02)
- [January 2014 (23)](https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/archive/2014/01)
- [December 2013 (23)](https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/archive/2013/12)
- [November 2013 (24)](https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/archive/2013/11)
- [October 2013 (27)](https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/archive/2013/10)
- [September 2013 (23)](https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/archive/2013/09)
- [August 2013 (26)](https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/archive/2013/08)
- [July 2013 (23)](https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/archive/2013/07)
- [June 2013 (22)](https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/archive/2013/06)
- [May 2013 (26)](https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/archive/2013/05)
- [April 2013 (24)](https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/archive/2013/04)
- [March 2013 (24)](https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/archive/2013/03)
- [February 2013 (20)](https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/archive/2013/02)
- [January 2013 (30)](https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/archive/2013/01)
- [December 2012 (34)](https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/archive/2012/12)
- [November 2012 (39)](https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/archive/2012/11)
- [October 2012 (42)](https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/archive/2012/10)
- [September 2012 (36)](https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/archive/2012/09)
- [August 2012 (30)](https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/archive/2012/08)
- [July 2012 (31)](https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/archive/2012/07)
- [June 2012 (18)](https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/archive/2012/06)

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