The Independent Market Observer

Appearance on CNBC Worldwide Exchange, February 3, 2015

February 3, 2015

Learn why I told CNBC Worldwide Exchange that I think the Federal Reserve is likely to start raising short-term rates in June in an interview today, February 3

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Appearance on CNBC Worldwide Exchange, December 23, 2014

December 23, 2014

Learn why I told CNBC Worldwide Exchange that I think there’s going to be an accelerated economic recovery in an interview today, December 23

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Appearance on CNBC Worldwide Exchange, October 6, 2014

October 7, 2014

How big of a concern is Europe to the ongoing U.S. economic recovery? Hear what I discussed with CNBC Worldwide Exchange in an interview yesterday, October 6.

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Appearance on CNBC Worldwide Exchange, August 27, 2014

August 27, 2014

What do I think about the S&P 500's break above 2,000? Hear what I discussed with CNBC Worldwide Exchange in an interview today, August 27.

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Appearance on CNBC Worldwide Exchange

June 25, 2014

Learn why I told CNBC Worldwide Exchange that I think taking out protection against a deeper correction is a good idea at this point in an interview today, June 25

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5/29/14 – Interview on Bloomberg Radio’s The Hays Advantage

May 29, 2014

Check out Brad’s interview on Bloomberg Radio’s The Hays Advantage with Kathleen Hays and Vonnie Quinn, where he offers his general outlook on the markets.

 

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Mark Your Calendars and Update Your Bookmarks: My Blog Is Moving, June 2, 2014

May 27, 2014

In order to take advantage of some new capabilities and streamlined efficiencies here at Commonwealth, my friends in the Marketing department tell me that my blog will be moving to a new address, http://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer, effective June 2, 2014.

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5/16/14 – What Can Cycles Tell Us About Investing?

May 16, 2014

If you ever want to be amused, get a cat to watch an ink-jet printer while it’s at work. I now have a laser printer at home, which still seems to fascinate the cat, but there’s no comparison to the ink-jet. Something about the print head scurrying back and forth under the cover must remind them of a mouse . . .

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5/15/14 – Is FATCA Bad News for the U.S. Dollar?

May 15, 2014

Recently, several readers have written in with questions about House Bill 2847—specifically, the Foreign Account Tax Compliance Act (FATCA) section, which takes effect in July.

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5/6/14 – Why the Weather Hit the Economy So Hard

May 6, 2014

Last week, Ken Carl wrote in with a question: “Am I the only one who is pretty amazed at the effect that the weather had on our economy? I admit that we had a hard winter, but it wouldn’t be unreasonable for the same thing to happen again. Would our economy be hit once again if it did?”

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The information on this website is intended for informational/educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy or sell any security or investment product. Please contact your financial professional for more information specific to your situation.

Certain sections of this commentary contain forward-looking statements that are based on our reasonable expectations, estimates, projections, and assumptions. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve certain risks and uncertainties, which are difficult to predict. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Diversification does not assure a profit or protect against loss in declining markets.

The S&P 500 Index is a broad-based measurement of changes in stock market conditions based on the average performance of 500 widely held common stocks. All indices are unmanaged and investors cannot invest directly in an index.

The MSCI EAFE (Europe, Australia, Far East) Index is a free float‐adjusted market capitalization index that is designed to measure the equity market performance of developed markets, excluding the U.S. and Canada. The MSCI EAFE Index consists of 21 developed market country indices.

One basis point (bp) is equal to 1/100th of 1 percent, or 0.01 percent.

The VIX (CBOE Volatility Index) measures the market’s expectation of 30-day volatility across a wide range of S&P 500 options.

The forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio divides the current share price of the index by its estimated future earnings.

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