The Independent Market Observer

4/10/14 – Up and Down and Up and Down

April 10, 2014

Summer is coming, finally, and we have a nice day outside. Of course, summer means amusement parks and, as Jackson gets older, Dad taking him on rides. I miss the days of the rocket ships that went in gentle circles—now we are moving on to the teacups and the roller coasters that make you regret that hot dog you ate very much.

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4/9/14 – Banks Pay More, Medicare Pays Less?

April 9, 2014

I’m back in the office today with no overarching story, but a lot of items worth a look.

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4/8/14 – Market Declines: What’s Your Plan?

April 8, 2014

I’m headed back from a brief vacation today. My family and I were at the Commonwealth Winners Circle conference, then ventured down south of Tucson to stay with Jackson’s Gram and Pop-pop. It’s been a fun couple of days—I particularly recommend the Desert Museum—but today will be spent on planes. That’s the plan.

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4/7/14 – Market Turbulence Means Investors Should Pay Attention

April 7, 2014

Friday was a scary day in the markets, as pretty good economic news was met with a downturn in stock prices. The S&P 500 dropped 1.25 percent, and the Nasdaq dropped a scarier 2.6 percent.

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4/4/14 – The Snowdown Is Over, Spring Is Here

April 4, 2014

The data is coming in, and it appears it was the weather after all. The jobs report showed a gain of 192,000 (slightly below expectations but still quite healthy), the unemployment rate remained steady at 6.7 percent (which is actually better than it looks), and private employment hit a new all-time high—all very good signs for the future.

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4/3/14 – The Trend Is Your Friend

April 3, 2014

I’m at the Commonwealth Winners Circle conference this week, talking with our financial advisors and having a wonderful time. The Arizona weather is a huge improvement on that of many parts of the country, which is lightening everyone’s mood. Even as we enjoy the better weather, though, one of the questions that keeps coming up is whether the current positive trends in many areas will continue, or change, and how will we know? Is the better economic weather transitory, or is spring really on its way?

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4/2/14 – High-Frequency Trading and the Average Investor

April 2, 2014

I got a good question from Matt Parsons about yesterday’s post—essentially, what does high-frequency trading (HFT) mean to the average investor? If you’re retired, living off your investments, do you need to worry? This is an excellent question—thanks, Matt!

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4/1/14 – High-Frequency Trading and Market Trust

April 1, 2014

The New York Times has an excerpt from Michael Lewis’s new book, Flash Boys, which is essentially about how the stock markets have become rigged. There will be a tremendous amount of debate on whether his charges are fair, what actions should be taken, and so forth—the FBI has apparently already launched an investigation—but to my mind, this somewhat misses the point.

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Market Thoughts for April 2014 Video

April 1, 2014

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i_kHSyp0-o0 

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3/31/14 – The Revenge of Geography by Robert D. Kaplan

March 31, 2014

I haven’t done a book review for a while, as I’ve been reading outside the usual investing and economics areas. With Russia’s annexation of Crimea and the continuing low-grade conflicts in Asia as China expands its footprint, I thought it was time to discuss one of the more interesting books on geopolitics I’ve read recently, The Revenge of Geography by Robert Kaplan.

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