The Independent Market Observer

Economic Risk Factor Update: March 2024 [SlideShare]

March 13, 2024

February’s reports showed signs of continued economic growth. Hiring accelerated, with a strong 275,000 jobs added during the month. That said, service sector and consumer confidence fell modestly.

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Economic Risk Factor Update: February 2024 [SlideShare]

February 7, 2024

January’s reports showed solid economic growth to start the year. Hiring accelerated, as 353,000 jobs were added in January following an upwardly revised 333,000 new jobs in December. Consumer confidence and service sector confidence also improved to start the year.

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Economic Risk Factor Update: January 2024 [SlideShare]

January 10, 2024

The reports released in December showed solid economic growth to finish the year. Hiring accelerated, as 217,000 jobs were added in December against 179,000 jobs in November. Consumer confidence also improved notably, but service sector confidence fell. The yield curve inversion widened again in December, marking two consecutive months of an increasing inversion.

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Economic Risk Factor Update: December 2023 [SlideShare]

December 13, 2023

The reports released in November showed continued economic growth. Hiring accelerated, as 199,000 jobs were added in November against 150,000 jobs in October. Service sector and consumer confidence also improved modestly, but both indicators remained in yellow territory. The yield curve inversion deepened during the month, leaving that indicator red.

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Economic Risk Factor Update: November 2023 [SlideShare]

November 8, 2023

The October reports showed continued economic growth with signs of potential slowing ahead. Hiring remained positive, as 150,000 jobs were added during the month. That said, the yield curve remained in red territory, and service sector and consumer confidence fell in October. This result could signal slower spending growth toward the end of the year. 

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Economic Risk Factor Update: October 2023 [SlideShare]

October 11, 2023

The September reports showed signs of continued economic growth to start the fall. Hiring accelerated during the month, with 336,000 jobs added, coming in well above economist estimates. That said, the yield curve remained in red territory, and service sector and consumer confidence declined.

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Economic Risk Factor Update: September 2023 [SlideShare]

September 6, 2023

My colleague Sam Millette, director, fixed income on Commonwealth’s Investment Management and Research team, helped me put together this month’s Economic Risk Factor Update. Thanks for the assist, Sam! Let’s take a closer look.

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Economic Risk Factor Update: August 2023 [SlideShare]

August 16, 2023

My colleague Sam Millette, director, fixed income on Commonwealth’s Investment Management and Research team, helped me put together this month’s Economic Risk Factor Update. Thanks for the assist, Sam! Let’s take a closer look.

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Economic Risk Factor Update: July 2023 [SlideShare]

July 12, 2023

My colleague Sam Millette, director, fixed income on Commonwealth’s Investment Management and Research team, helped me put together this month’s Economic Risk Factor Update. Thanks for the assist, Sam! Let’s take a closer look.

Continue reading → Leave a comment

Economic Risk Factor Update: June 2023 [SlideShare]

June 7, 2023

My colleague Sam Millette, director, fixed income on Commonwealth’s Investment Management and Research team, helped me put together this month’s Economic Risk Factor Update. Thanks for the assist, Sam! Let’s take a closer look.

Continue reading → Leave a comment

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