Where Is the Market Going Next?

October 20, 2014

We’ve seen a market downdraft, a bounce back up, and now . . . what next? This is the big question everyone’s asking.

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U.S. Is Prepared to Weather Market Storms

October 17, 2014

Over the past couple of days, I’ve said again and again that the U.S. is in good shape economically, and that the problems rattling the markets are coming from elsewhere in the world. Today, let’s take a closer look at where we stand, and why I think we're well positioned to ride out any market turmoil.

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Is a Market Blizzard Coming?

October 16, 2014

Once again, the winds of market turbulence are starting to blow. Once again, barometers (and stock prices) are dropping. Once again, we wonder why we ever thought it was a good idea to invest in stocks.

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What Falling Oil Prices Mean for the U.S. Economy

October 15, 2014

Apart from the stock market—and we got a break on that front yesterday—the big story lately has been falling oil prices.

Not to minimize the market’s losses, but from a long-term perspective, the oil price decline over the past month is the more important story by far, both for the U.S. economy and for the world.

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Are We Seeing a Market Correction? Not Yet

October 14, 2014

Yesterday was another bad one. The market is now below its 200-day moving average, and the selling toward the end of the day wasn't a good sign.

It’s time to think through what this "correction" might mean.

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An Early Warning: Market Breaks 200-Day Moving Average

October 13, 2014

After I wrote Friday’s post, the market proceeded to drop even further, and it opened today with another dip. Time to reevaluate where we stand.

First, as always, it’s important to keep things in perspective. As I write this, the S&P 500 is down just over 6 percent from the peak. We’re still up about 2.5 percent for the year, and more than 11 percent for the past 12 months. Even with the drop, we’re in a pretty good place.

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A Bumpy Ride for Investors

October 10, 2014

Over the past few days, the market has taken investors on a roller-coaster ride, and I suspect many of us are feeling a bit queasy. No one likes to be jerked down and up and back down again.

What’s going on?

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Disclosure

Certain sections of this commentary contain forward-looking statements that are based on our reasonable expectations, estimates, projections, and assumptions. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve certain risks and uncertainties, which are difficult to predict. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Diversification does not assure a profit or protect against loss in declining markets. All indices are unmanaged and investors cannot invest directly into an index.

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