The Independent Market Observer

Economic Release Snapshot: Service Sector Confidence Improves in July

August 12, 2024

Each week, we break down the latest U.S. economic reports, including what the results mean for the overall health of the economy. Here, you will find how economists’ forecasts compare with actual results, key takeaways to consider, as well as a list of what’s on tap for the week ahead.

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Looking Back at the Markets in July and Ahead to August 2024

August 6, 2024

July was a mixed month for markets, as investors rotated away from larger technology companies and took a more diversified approach during the month. The S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average both posted positive returns in July, but the Nasdaq Composite declined modestly. International markets were up for the month, while falling interest rates led to positive returns for bonds.

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Stock Market Sell-Off: What to Expect Next

August 5, 2024

It has been quite a couple of days in the financial markets. Today marks the latest in a sharp drawdown around the world. Japan has been hit particularly hard, but the pullback is global. Here in the U.S., for example, the S&P 500 is down about 3 percent for the day (as of this writing) and just shy of 8 percent off its all-time highs. The Nasdaq is doing even worse, down almost 4 percent for the day and 14 percent off its all-time highs.

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Economic Release Snapshot: Job Growth Slows as Unemployment Rises

August 5, 2024

Each week, we break down the latest U.S. economic reports, including what the results mean for the overall health of the economy. Here, you will find how economists’ forecasts compare with actual results, key takeaways to consider, as well as a list of what’s on tap for the week ahead.

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Market Thoughts for August 2024 [Video]

August 2, 2024

July was a mixed month for markets, as investors rotated away from tech companies in favor of a more diversified approach. The tech-heavy Nasdaq had a weak month, the S&P 500 ended up a bit, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average did best of all, up by almost 5 percent. On the economic front, we are still in a relatively familiar place as we head into August. Despite some slowing, the economy is healthy and inflation is down.

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Digesting the Fed: Will Rates Fall This Fall?

August 1, 2024

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) met this week and voted unanimously to hold rates steady for the eighth consecutive meeting, leaving its policy range at 5.25 percent to 5.5 percent. This decision came as no surprise, with the futures markets pricing in a near-zero percent chance of a rate cut leading up to the meeting.

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Economic Release Snapshot: GDP Growth Accelerates in Second Quarter

July 29, 2024

Each week, we break down the latest U.S. economic reports, including what the results mean for the overall health of the economy. Here, you will find how economists’ forecasts compare with actual results, key takeaways to consider, as well as a list of what’s on tap for the week ahead.

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Economic Release Snapshot: Industrial Production Rises in June

July 22, 2024

Each week, we break down the latest U.S. economic reports, including what the results mean for the overall health of the economy. Here, you will find how economists’ forecasts compare with actual results, key takeaways to consider, as well as a list of what’s on tap for the week ahead.

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Surveying the Economic and Market Landscape

July 19, 2024

“Life moves pretty fast. If you don't stop and look around once in a while, you could miss it.”
— Ferris Bueller

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Monthly Market Risk Update: July 2024 [SlideShare]

July 17, 2024

June was a solid month for markets, with all three major U.S. equity indices up for the month. The S&P 500 gained 3.59 percent, the Dow Jones Industrial Average grew 1.23 percent, and the Nasdaq Composite was up 6.03 percent. Solid earnings growth and a healthy economic backdrop supported equity markets during the month.

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The information on this website is intended for informational/educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy or sell any security or investment product. Please contact your financial professional for more information specific to your situation.

Certain sections of this commentary contain forward-looking statements that are based on our reasonable expectations, estimates, projections, and assumptions. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve certain risks and uncertainties, which are difficult to predict. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Diversification does not assure a profit or protect against loss in declining markets.

The S&P 500 Index is a broad-based measurement of changes in stock market conditions based on the average performance of 500 widely held common stocks. All indices are unmanaged and investors cannot invest directly in an index.

The MSCI EAFE (Europe, Australia, Far East) Index is a free float‐adjusted market capitalization index that is designed to measure the equity market performance of developed markets, excluding the U.S. and Canada. The MSCI EAFE Index consists of 21 developed market country indices.

One basis point (bp) is equal to 1/100th of 1 percent, or 0.01 percent.

The VIX (CBOE Volatility Index) measures the market’s expectation of 30-day volatility across a wide range of S&P 500 options.

The forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio divides the current share price of the index by its estimated future earnings.

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