The Independent Market Observer

Sam Millette

Sam Millette is director, fixed income, on the Investment Management and Research team at Commonwealth. With the firm since 2013, he manages the fixed income research team, responds to advisor requests, analyzes individual bonds, and authors market research and commentary. Sam graduated from Tufts University with a degree in economics and is a member of the CFA Society Boston.

Recent Posts

Monthly Market Risk Update: October 2024 [SlideShare]

October 16, 2024

Stocks continued their rally in September, with all three major U.S. indices up for the month and quarter. The S&P 500 gained 2.14 percent in September and 5.89 percent for the quarter, while the Dow was up 1.96 percent during the month and 8.72 percent for the quarter. The technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite gained 2.76 percent for the month and quarter. Improving fundamentals and solid earnings growth supported these results.

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Economic Release Snapshot: Consumer Sentiment Slides in October

October 14, 2024

Each week, we break down the latest U.S. economic reports, including what the results mean for the overall health of the economy. Here, you will find how economists’ forecasts compare with actual results, key takeaways to consider, as well as a list of what’s on tap for the week ahead. 

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Economic Risk Factor Update: October 2024 [SlideShare]

October 9, 2024

The September economic reports showed signs of continued strength to end the quarter. Hiring picked up during the month, with additions to nonfarm payrolls surpassing expectations and the unemployment rate ticking down to 4.1 percent. Service sector and consumer confidence showed mixed signals and have remained volatile over recent months. Finally, the yield curve inversion narrowed modestly, with both long- and short-term yields falling during the month.    

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Economic Release Snapshot: September Hiring Surge

October 7, 2024

Each week, we break down the latest U.S. economic reports, including what the results mean for the overall health of the economy. Here, you will find how economists’ forecasts compare with actual results, key takeaways to consider, as well as a list of what’s on tap for the week ahead. 

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Looking Back at the Markets in September and Ahead to October 2024

October 3, 2024

September was a solid month for investors, capping off a strong quarter for markets. Falling interest rates helped support stock returns, with the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average setting new record highs during the month. Even bonds were up, marking five straight months with positive fixed income performance.

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Economic Release Snapshot: Consumer Confidence Slides in September

September 30, 2024

Each week, we break down the latest U.S. economic reports, including what the results mean for the overall health of the economy. Here, you will find how economists’ forecasts compare with actual results, key takeaways to consider, as well as a list of what’s on tap for the week ahead.

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Economic Release Snapshot: Signs of Continued Economic Growth

September 23, 2024

Each week, we break down the latest U.S. economic reports, including what the results mean for the overall health of the economy. Here, you will find how economists’ forecasts compare with actual results, key takeaways to consider, as well as a list of what’s on tap for the week ahead.

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Monthly Market Risk Update: September 2024 [SlideShare]

September 18, 2024

August was an encouraging month for stocks, as markets were able to end the month in positive territory despite an early-month sell-off. The Dow Jones Industrial Average concluded the month at a record high, while the S&P 500 was close to its own record level. The Nasdaq Composite lagged its peers, but the technology-heavy index still managed to eke out a modest gain during the month.

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Economic Release Snapshot: Inflation Cools in August

September 16, 2024

Each week, we break down the latest U.S. economic reports, including what the results mean for the overall health of the economy. Here, you will find how economists’ forecasts compare with actual results, key takeaways to consider, as well as a list of what’s on tap for the week ahead.

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Economic Risk Factor Update: September 2024 [SlideShare]

September 11, 2024

The economic reports showed signs of improvement in August. Hiring picked up, compared to a downwardly revised hiring report for July. Service sector and consumer confidence improved in August but remained volatile over recent months. The yield curve inversion remained relatively stable, with long- and short-term yields falling during the month.

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The information on this website is intended for informational/educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy or sell any security or investment product. Please contact your financial professional for more information specific to your situation.

Certain sections of this commentary contain forward-looking statements that are based on our reasonable expectations, estimates, projections, and assumptions. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve certain risks and uncertainties, which are difficult to predict. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Diversification does not assure a profit or protect against loss in declining markets.

The S&P 500 Index is a broad-based measurement of changes in stock market conditions based on the average performance of 500 widely held common stocks. All indices are unmanaged and investors cannot invest directly in an index.

The MSCI EAFE (Europe, Australia, Far East) Index is a free float‐adjusted market capitalization index that is designed to measure the equity market performance of developed markets, excluding the U.S. and Canada. The MSCI EAFE Index consists of 21 developed market country indices.

One basis point (bp) is equal to 1/100th of 1 percent, or 0.01 percent.

The VIX (CBOE Volatility Index) measures the market’s expectation of 30-day volatility across a wide range of S&P 500 options.

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