Monday Update: Inflation Low, Not Dropping Further

August 14, 2017

Last week, the only major economic report was on consumer prices, released on Friday. Overall, this month’s data suggests that inflation remains low but is not dropping further. Therefore, the Fed will remain watchful, and it isn’t likely to increase rates in September but may well start the balance sheet reduction program.

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Appearance on CNBC's Power Lunch, August 11, 2017 [Video]

August 11, 2017

After three consecutive days of market declines fueled by tensions with North Korea, the major U.S. indices were up on Friday. Is recent performance simply normal market action, or is it a sign of something worse to come? 

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Monday Update: Strong Jobs Suggest Recovery Continues

August 7, 2017

We saw a wide range of economic news last week, including a detailed look at consumer income and spending; business confidence in both the manufacturing and service sectors; the international trade report; and, most important, the July jobs report. While there are some areas of concern, the jobs report suggests that the recovery continues.

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Dow 22K: Are We Seeing a Pattern?

August 3, 2017

It seems like just a couple of months ago that I was writing about record highs for the Dow. In fact, looking at the data, it was only a few months ago, on January 26, that I wrote about Dow 20K. Reviewing that post, it notes that I last discussed stock market records 58 days before that. Are we seeing a pattern here?

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Monday Update (on Tuesday): Mixed Data, Positive Overall

August 1, 2017

Last week gave us another look at the housing market, with reports on sales of existing and new homes. Also, the durable goods orders provided a window into industry and business confidence, while the first estimate of GDP for the second quarter revealed the growth of the economy as a whole. Overall, the news was mixed but positive.

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Appearance on CNBC's Power Lunch, July 24, 2017 [Video]

July 25, 2017

This week is an important one for earnings season, with a large number of S&P 500 companies due to announce their results for the second quarter. Given all the political turmoil in DC, should we expect company earnings to follow suit? Or have we already seen all the bad news?

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Monday Update: Housing Bears Watching

July 24, 2017

Last week was all about housing, and the news was mixed. Although industry sentiment showed a surprising drop, actual activity came in stronger than expected. Overall, the data probably shades to the good side, but housing bears watching going forward.

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