Each week, we break down the latest U.S. economic reports, including what the results mean for the overall health of the economy. Here, you will find how economists’ forecasts compare with actual results, key takeaways to consider, as well as a list of what’s on tap for the week ahead.

July was a mixed month for markets, as investors rotated away from tech companies in favor of a more diversified approach. The tech-heavy Nasdaq had a weak month, the S&P 500 ended up a bit, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average did best of all, up by almost 5 percent. On the economic front, we are still in a relatively familiar place as we head into August. Despite some slowing, the economy is healthy and inflation is down.

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) met this week and voted unanimously to hold rates steady for the eighth consecutive meeting, leaving its policy range at 5.25 percent to 5.5 percent. This decision came as no surprise, with the futures markets pricing in a near-zero percent chance of a rate cut leading up to the meeting.

Each week, we break down the latest U.S. economic reports, including what the results mean for the overall health of the economy. Here, you will find how economists’ forecasts compare with actual results, key takeaways to consider, as well as a list of what’s on tap for the week ahead.

Each week, we break down the latest U.S. economic reports, including what the results mean for the overall health of the economy. Here, you will find how economists’ forecasts compare with actual results, key takeaways to consider, as well as a list of what’s on tap for the week ahead.

“Life moves pretty fast. If you don't stop and look around once in a while, you could miss it.”
— Ferris Bueller

June was a solid month for markets, with all three major U.S. equity indices up for the month. The S&P 500 gained 3.59 percent, the Dow Jones Industrial Average grew 1.23 percent, and the Nasdaq Composite was up 6.03 percent. Solid earnings growth and a healthy economic backdrop supported equity markets during the month.

When we began 2024, six interest rate cuts were expected. But with stickier-than-expected inflation and strong job growth, markets significantly lowered those expectations. As a result, rising interest rates created headwinds for rate-sensitive assets, although a resilient economy helped lower-credit-quality parts of the fixed income market (e.g., high-yield and bank loans) outperform their higher-credit-quality counterparts.

Each week, we break down the latest U.S. economic reports, including what the results mean for the overall health of the economy. Here, you will find how economists’ forecasts compare with actual results, key takeaways to consider, as well as a list of what’s on tap for the week ahead.

June’s reports indicated signs of continued economic growth with signs of a potential slowdown ahead. Hiring remained solid, with 206,000 jobs added during the month. Service sector and consumer confidence both fell in June, while the yield curve inversion widened modestly.