The Independent Market Observer

Sam Millette

Sam Millette is director, fixed income, on the Investment Management and Research team at Commonwealth. With the firm since 2013, he manages the fixed income research team, responds to advisor requests, analyzes individual bonds, and authors market research and commentary. Sam graduated from Tufts University with a degree in economics and is a member of the CFA Society Boston.

Recent Posts

Monday Update: Retail Sales Fall in May

June 21, 2021

Last week saw a number of important economic data releases, with a focus on retail sales and producer inflation in May, as well as the Fed’s June meeting. Retail sales fell by more than expected, but we saw an upward revision to April’s sales report that helps explain the May decline. This week will be busy once again, with May’s housing sales, durable goods orders, and personal income and spending reports serving as highlights.

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Monday Update: Consumer Prices Rise by More Than Expected

June 14, 2021

Last week saw a number of important economic updates, with a focus on April’s international trade report, May’s consumer inflation report, and the preliminary estimate of the University of Michigan consumer sentiment report for June. Consumer inflation came in above economist estimates, but the markets largely shrugged off the news. This week will be another busy one, with updates on May’s retail sales, industrial production, and new home construction serving as potential highlights.

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Monday Update: Business Confidence Rebounds as Hiring Accelerates

June 7, 2021

Last week saw a number of important economic updates, with May’s business confidence and employment reports serving as highlights. This week will be relatively quiet, with only a few major releases scheduled. Given recent concerns about rising inflationary pressure, the focus will be largely on Thursday’s release of the Consumer Price Index for May.

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Monday Update (on Tuesday): Another Post-Pandemic Low for Initial Jobless Claims

June 1, 2021

Last week saw several important economic data releases, with the weekly initial jobless claims report and the April personal income and spending reports serving as highlights. Initial unemployment claims fell for the fourth week in a row, providing an encouraging sign for the labor market recovery. This week, which is short due to the holiday, will be relatively quiet, with updates focusing on business confidence and employment.

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Monday Update: Initial Jobless Claims Set New Pandemic-Era Low

May 24, 2021

Last week saw a number of economic updates, with a focus on housing, the minutes from the Fed’s most recent meeting, and the weekly initial jobless claims report. This will be another busy week for updates, with news to come on consumer confidence in May and April’s durable goods orders and personal income and spending reports.

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Monday Update: Inflationary Pressure Picks Up in April

May 17, 2021

Last week saw a number of important data releases, with much of the focus falling on the April inflation reports showing prices rising by more than expected during the month. This will be another busy week for updates, with the housing sector and the minutes from the most recent Fed meeting serving as highlights.

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Monday Update: Pace of Hiring Slows in April

May 10, 2021

Last week saw a number of important economic updates, with a focus on business confidence in April and the recent jobs reports. The April employment report showed a slowdown in the number of new jobs added, but weekly unemployment claims fell to a new pandemic-era low by the end of the month. This will be another busy week, with updates to come on April’s inflation, retail sales, and industrial production, as well as a first look at consumer confidence in May.

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Monday Update (on Tuesday): Consumer Confidence Climbs in April

May 4, 2021

Last week saw the release of a number of important economic data reports. Better-than-expected consumer confidence and personal spending reports served as the week’s highlights. This week will be another busy one for news, with the focus on April’s business confidence and employment reports.

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Monday Update: Initial Jobless Claims Set New Pandemic-Era Low

April 26, 2021

Last week was relatively quiet on the economic update front, with only three major data releases. The weekly initial jobless claims and new home sales reports served as highlights. This week will be busier, with reports on first-quarter GDP growth, durable goods orders, and personal income and spending.

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Monday Update: Retail Sales Soar as Economic Recovery Accelerates

April 19, 2021

Last week saw the release of a number of important economic updates, with most reports pointing toward a continued acceleration in the pace of the economic recovery. Highlights included a surge in March’s retail sales and housing starts, as well as a new low for the number of weekly initial jobless claims. This week will be relatively quiet, with a focus on March’s home sales reports.

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Certain sections of this commentary contain forward-looking statements that are based on our reasonable expectations, estimates, projections, and assumptions. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve certain risks and uncertainties, which are difficult to predict. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Diversification does not assure a profit or protect against loss in declining markets.

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