The Independent Market Observer

Joe Dunn

Joe Dunn is an investment research analyst on the Investment Management and Research team at Commonwealth Financial Network®, member FINRA/SIPC, an independent broker/dealer–RIA. With the firm since 2015, he assists advisors with fixed income portfolio reviews, including the analysis of individual corporate and municipal bonds. Joe graduated from UMass Amherst with a bachelor's degree in finance. He holds his FINRA Series 7, 24, and 66 securities registrations and is working toward becoming a CFA® charterholder.

Recent Posts

Digesting the Fed: Rates Start to Fall Before the Leaves

September 19, 2024

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) met this week and voted to cut rates by a half-percent, bringing its policy range to 4.75 percent to 5 percent. This decision comes after committee members had elected to hold rates steady at the preceding eight meetings after their hiking cycle concluded in July 2023. This vote also marks the first time in recent periods that a voting committee member dissented from the popular vote. We saw 11 committee members vote in favor of the action, with Fed Governor Michelle Bowman as the sole dissenter, preferring a quarter-percent cut.

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Digesting the Fed: Will Rates Fall This Fall?

August 1, 2024

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) met this week and voted unanimously to hold rates steady for the eighth consecutive meeting, leaving its policy range at 5.25 percent to 5.5 percent. This decision came as no surprise, with the futures markets pricing in a near-zero percent chance of a rate cut leading up to the meeting.

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Digesting the Fed: Progress Made, But More Work Ahead

June 13, 2024

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) met this week and voted unanimously to hold rates steady for the seventh consecutive meeting, leaving its policy range at 5.25 percent to 5.5 percent. This decision was widely anticipated, with futures markets pricing in a near-zero percent chance of a rate cut in the days and weeks leading up to the meeting.

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Digesting the Fed: Higher for Longer and Longer

May 2, 2024

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) met this week and voted unanimously to hold rates steady for the sixth consecutive meeting, leaving its policy range at 5.25 percent to 5.5 percent. Futures markets had this expectation confidently priced in since mid-February, so the official decision comes as no surprise. This view is in stark contrast to market expectations at the start of 2024, when a second rate cut was fully priced in for this point in time. Yet even the first rate cut still eludes us.

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Digesting the Fed: Markets and the Fed Seeing Eye to Eye (For Now)

March 21, 2024

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) met this week and voted unanimously to hold rates steady for the fifth consecutive meeting, leaving its policy range at 5.25 percent to 5.5 percent. This came as no surprise, with futures markets indicating a near-zero percent chance of a rate cut in the days and weeks leading up to the decision.

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Digesting the Fed: Committee Members Need More Time

February 1, 2024

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) met this week and voted unanimously to hold rates steady for the fourth consecutive meeting, leaving its policy range at 5.25 percent to 5.5 percent. This outcome was confidently priced into futures markets leading up to the meeting, so the committee’s decision comes as no surprise.

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Digesting the Fed: Rates Hold Steady, but Cuts to Come?

December 14, 2023

This week, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) met and voted unanimously to hold rates steady for the third consecutive meeting, leaving its policy range at 5.25 percent to 5.5 percent. This decision comes as no surprise, with the futures markets indicating a near-zero percent chance of a rate increase in the days and weeks leading up to the meeting.

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Digesting the Fed

November 2, 2023

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) met this week and voted unanimously to hold rates steady for the second consecutive meeting. This leaves its policy range at 5.25 percent to 5.5 percent. After a historic run where the committee increased that range by 5.25 percent over the course of 11 meetings, no change can certainly feel like a change. So, what are the driving forces behind the continued pause? Let’s look at some of the details the FOMC is keeping its eyes on, as well as what we should be paying attention to moving forward.

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Curbed Appeal for Would-Be Homebuyers

October 25, 2023

Being a “forever renter” is an idea many millennials (myself included) have been grappling with in recent years. Buying a home, once considered a milestone on the adulting journey, feels more out of reach than ever for some of us. I know I’m not alone in this feeling, as there are plenty of would-be homebuyers to share in my woes. So, let’s take a look at some of the barriers to homeownership now and whether there is reason to believe circumstances may change in the future or if some of us will be tenants for eternity.

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Is GDP a Scam?

August 9, 2023

Brad here. One of the things we try to do at Commonwealth is look beyond the numbers. Yes, the numbers are what they are—but what do they mean? Here is my colleague Joe Dunn’s take on one of the biggest numbers, gross domestic product, and why it is so important to look deeper. Take it away, Joe!

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